“Prediction is very difficult, especially for the Future”
Mark Twain, Author and Humorist
The scenarios are not predictions; it is simply not possible to predict the future with certainty. Scenarios are a powerful learning tool that helps us perceive futures today. The scenarios are challenging our mindsets and oblige us to think of uncomfortable futures. The four scenarios will help us suspend the disbelief in all the futures: to allow us to think that any of them might take place – and prepare for them.
Based on the strategic uncertainties described in the previous section, four different scenarios for the future of the Chinese research have been constructed.