Trend Impact Analysis: take a sneak pick at our scenario study

The following graph sums the outcome of the Trends Evaluation Process, indicating or suggesting specific drivers that are of high importance and high probability to occur affecting the Research Environment in china.

In the following graph the X axis represents the probability (ranking marks from 1 to 10), while the Y axis represents the importance of the same drivers on affecting the research environment (ranking marks from 1 to 10).

  • The trends in the upper right corner were evaluated by the experts as certain and
  • The Trends in the top left corner were evaluated as uncertain (or less certain) but still highly important.

These two sets of trends according to the scenario methodology are deemed of high importance and are further studied in more detail, while are playing an important role in the formulation of the scenarios.